Volcanology Publications

2018~◊~2017~◊~2016~◊~2015~◊~2014~◊~2013~◊~2012

Additional reports -

2020

Walsh B, Procter J, Jolly A (2019) Improving the Amplitude Source Location (ASL) Method Using Multicomponent Seismic Data: An Assessment with Active Source Seismic Data. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 110(1): 250-269. doi: https://doi.org/10.1785/0120190063

2019

Bebbington MS, Jenkins SF (2019) Intra-eruption forecasting. Bulletin of Volcanology 81: 34. DOI: 10.1007/s00445-019-1294-9   Available online

Breard, E.C.P., Jones, J.R., Fullard, L., Lube, G., Davies, C., Dufek, J. (2019) The Permeability of Volcanic Mixtures—Implications for Pyroclastic Currents. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 124 (2), pp. 1343-1360. DOI: 10.1029/2018JB016544

Fullard, L.A., Breard, E.C.P., Davies, C.E., Godfrey, A.J.R., Fukuoka, M., Wade, A., Dufek, J., Lube, G. (2019) The dynamics of granular flow from a silo with two symmetric openings. Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 475 (2221), art. no. 20180462, DOI: 10.1098/rspa.2018.0462

Gómez-Vasconcelos, M.G., Villamor, P., Procter, J., Palmer, A., Cronin, S., Wallace, C., Townsend, D., Leonard, G. (2019) Characterisation of faults as earthquake sources from geomorphic data in the Tongariro Volcanic Complex, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics, 62 (1), pp. 131-142. DOI: 10.1080/00288306.2018.1548495   Available online

Goode, L.R., Handley, H.K., Cronin, S.J., Abdurrachman, M. (2019) Insights into eruption dynamics from the 2014 pyroclastic deposits of Kelut volcano, Java, Indonesia, and implications for future hazards. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 382, pp. 6-23. DOI: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2018.02.005

Hayes, J.L., Calderón B, R., Deligne, N.I., Jenkins, S.F., Leonard, G.S., McSporran, A.M., Williams, G.T., Wilson, T.M. (2019) Timber-framed building damage from tephra fall and lahar: 2015 Calbuco eruption, Chile.  Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 374, pp. 142-159. DOI: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2019.02.017.  Available online

Hayes, J.L., Wilson, T.M., Stewart, C., Villarosa, G., Salgado, P., Beigt, D., Outes, V., Deligne, N.I., Leonard, G.S. (2019) Tephra clean-up after the 2015 eruption of Calbuco volcano, Chile: A quantitative geospatial assessment in four communities. Journal of Applied Volcanology, 8 (1), art. no. 7, DOI: 10.1186/s13617-019-0087-3  Available online

Jenkins, S.F., Goldstein, H., Bebbington, M.S., Sparks, R.S.J., Koyaguchi, T. (2019) Forecasting explosion repose intervals with a non-parametric Bayesian survival model: Application to Sakura-jima volcano, Japan. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 381: 44-56. DOI: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2019.04.008

Jolly, A.D., 2019, On the shallow volcanic response to remote seismicity: Geology, v. 47, p. 95–96, https://doi.org/10.1130/focus012019.1. Available online

Kósik, S., Németh, K., Procter, J.N., Zellmer, G.F., Stewart, R.B. in press Shallow subaqueous to subaerial intra-1 caldera silicic volcanism of the Motuoapa Peninsula, Taupo Volcanic Zone, New Zealand: Surtseyan and dome-forming eruptions fed by crustal melts. Bulletin of Volcanology

Lerner, G.A., Cronin, S.J., Bebbington, M.S., Platz, T. (2019) The characteristics of a multi-episode volcanic regime: the post-AD 960 Maero Eruptive Period of Mt. Taranaki (New Zealand). Bulletin of Volcanology, 81 (11), art. no. 61, DOI: 10.1007/s00445-019-1327-4

Lerner, G.A., Cronin, S.J., Turner, G.M. (2019) Evaluating emplacement temperature of a 1000-year sequence of mass flows using paleomagnetism of their deposits at Mt. Taranaki, New Zealand. Volcanica 2 (1): 11-24. DOI: 10.30909/vol.02.01.1124

Lerner GA, Cronin SJ, Turner GM, Piispa EJ (2019)  Recognizing long-runout pyroclastic flow deposits using paleomagnetism of ash. Geological Society of America Bulletin.  Available online  https://doi.org/10.1130/B35029.1

Lerner, G.A., Cronin, S.J., Turner, G.M., Rowe, M.C. (2019) Paleomagnetic determination of the age and properties of the 1780–1800 AD dome effusion/collapse episode of Mt. Taranaki, New Zealand. Bulletin of Volcanology 81:15. DOI: 10.1007/s00445-019-1275-z.   Available online

Lube G, Breard ECP, Jones J, Fullard L, Dufek J, Cronin SJ, Wang T (2019) Generation of air lubrication within pyroclastic density currents. Nature Geoscience 12, 381–386.  Video and article available online

Mazot A, Rae A, Jentsch A, Britten K (2019) Testing the tunable diode laser system in extreme environments: Measuring high and low CO2 concentrations in both active volcanic and geothermal settings, Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, Vol 376, p 1-14, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2019.03.011 Available online

Park, I., Jolly, A., Kim, K.Y., Kennedy, B. (2019) Temporal variations of repeating low frequency volcanic earthquakes at Ngauruhoe Volcano, New Zealand. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 373, pp. 108-119.  DOI: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2019.01.024   Available online

Tsang, S.W.R., Lindsay, J.M., Coco, G., Wysocki, R., Lerner, G.A., Rader, E., Turner, G.M., Kennedy, B. (2019) The heating of substrates beneath basaltic lava flows. Bulletin of Volcanology, 81 (11), art. no. 68, DOI: 10.1007/s00445-019-1320-y

Walsh, B., Procter, J., Lokmer, I., Thun, J., Hurst, T., Christenson, B., Jolly, A., 2019: Geophysical examination of the 27 April 2016 Whakaari/White Island, New Zealand, eruption and its implications for vent physiognomies and eruptive dynamics. Earth, Planets and Space 71(1): 25. DOI: 10.1186/s40623-019-1003-0   Available online

Wang, T., Schofield, M., Bebbington, M., Kiyosugi, K. (2019) Bayesian modelling of marked point processes with incomplete records: volcanic eruptions. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics, DOI: 10.1111/rssc.12380

Wild, A.J., Wilson, T.M., Bebbington, M.S., Cole, J.W., Craig, H.M. (2019) Probabilistic volcanic impact assessment and cost-benefit analysis on network infrastructure for secondary evacuation of farm livestock: A case study from the dairy industry, Taranaki, New Zealand. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 387, art. no. 106670. DOI: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2019.106670

Yates, A.S.; Savage, M.K.; Jolly, A.D.; Caudron, C.; Hamling, I.J. 2019 Volcanic, coseismic, and seasonal changes detected at White Island (Whakaari) Volcano, New Zealand, using seismic ambient noise. Geophysical Research Letters,  doi: 10.1029/2018GL080580  Available online

2018

Books & Book Chapters

Gabrielsen, H., Procter, J., Rainforth, H., Black, T., Harmsworth, G., Pardo, N., 2018: Reflections from an Indigenous Community on Volcanic Event Management, Communications and Resilience. In: Fearnley C.J., Bird D.K., Haynes K., McGuire W.J., Jolly G. (eds) Observing the Volcano World. Advances in Volcanology. Springer, Cham. ISBN: 978-3-319-44095-8 pp. 463-479. DOI: 10.1007/11157_2016_44

Stewart, C., Wilson, T.M., Sword-Daniels, V., Wallace, K.L., Magill, C.R., Horwell, C.J., Leonard, G.S., Baxter, P.J., 2018: Communication Demands of Volcanic Ashfall Events. In: Fearnley C.J., Bird D.K., Haynes K., McGuire W.J., Jolly G. (eds) Observing the Volcano World. Advances in Volcanology. Springer, Cham. ISBN: 978-3-319-44095-8 pp. 23-49. DOI: 10.1007/11157_2016_19

Peer-Reviewed

Bebbington, M.S., Stirling, M.W., Cronin, S., Wang, T., Jolly, G.(2018) National-level long-term eruption forecasts by expert elicitation. Bulletin of Volcanology, 80 (6), art. no. 56, DOI: 10.1007/s00445-018-1230-4  Available online

Blake DM, Wilson TM, Stewart C (2018) Visibility in airborne volcanic ash: considerations for surface transportation using a laboratory-based method. Natural Hazards 92(1): 381-413. Available online

Breard, E.C.P., Dufek, J., Lube, G.(2018) Enhanced Mobility in Concentrated Pyroclastic Density Currents: An Examination of a Self-Fluidization Mechanism. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (2), pp. 654-664. DOI: 10.1002/2017GL075759. Available online

Cook, S.C.W., Kennedy, B., Villeneuve, M. 2018: Engineering geology model of the Crater Lake outlet, Mt. Ruapehu, New Zealand, to inform rim breakout hazard. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 350: 69-83. DOI: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2017.12.006

Christophersen, A.; Deligne, N.I.; Hanea, A.M.; Chardot, L.; Fournier, N.; Aspinall, W.P. 2018 Bayesian Network modeling and expert elicitation for probabilistic eruption forecasting : pilot study for Whakaari/ White Island, New Zealand. Frontiers in Earth Science, 6:211; doi: 10.3389/feart.2018.00211 Available online

Damaschke, M., Cronin, S.J., Bebbington, M.S., 2018: A volcanic event forecasting model for multiple tephra records, demonstrated on Mt. Taranaki, New Zealand. Bulletin of Volcanology 80(1): 9. DOI: 10.1007/s00445-017-1184-y

Gabrielsen, H., Procter, J., Rainforth, H., Black, T., Harmsworth, G., Pardo, N. (2018) Reflections from an Indigenous Community on Volcanic Event Management, Communications and Resilience. Advances in Volcanology, pp. 463-479. DOI: 10.1007/11157_2016_44   

Jolly, A.D.; Lokmer, I.; Christenson, B.W.; Thun, J. 2018 Relating gas ascent to eruption triggering for the April 27, 2016, White Island (Whakaari), New Zealand eruption sequence. Earth, Planets and Space, 70: article 177; doi: 10.1186/s40623-018-0948-8 Available online

Kereszturi G, Schaefer LN, W. Schleiffarth K, Procter J, Pullanagari R, Mead S, Kennedy B (2018) Integrating airborne hyperspectral imagery and LiDAR for volcano mapping and monitoring through image classification. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation 73, pp. 323-339, DOI: 10.1016/j.jag.2018.07.006. Available online

Kósik, S., Németh, K., Lexa, J., Procter, J.N. (2018) Understanding the evolution of a small-volume silicic fissure eruption: Puketerata Volcanic Complex, Taupo Volcanic Zone, New Zealand. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. DOI: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2017.12.008

Nemeth, K., Palmer, J. (2018) Geological mapping of volcanic terrains: Discussion on concepts, facies models, scales, and resolutions from New Zealand perspective. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. DOI: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2018.11.028  Available online

Schaefer, L.N.; Kennedy, B.M.; Villeneuve, M.C.; Cook, S.C.W.; Jolly, A.D.; Keys, H.J.R.; Leonard, G.S. 2018 Stability assessment of the Crater Lake/Te Wai-a-moe overflow channel at Mt. Ruapehu (New Zealand), and implications for volcanic lake break-out triggers. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 358: 31-44; doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2018.06.011. Available online

Torres-Orozco R, Cronin SJ, Pardo N, Palmer AS (2018) Volcanic hazard scenarios for multiphase andesitic Plinian eruptions from lithostratigraphy: Insights into pyroclastic density current diversity at Mount Taranaki, New Zealand. GSA Bulletin doi: https://doi.org/10.1130/B31850.1 Available online

2017

Arpa, M.C., Zellmer, G.F., Christenson, B., Lube, G., Shellnutt, G. (2017) Variable magma reservoir depths for Tongariro Volcanic Complex eruptive deposits from 10,000 years to present. Bulletin of Volcanology, 79 (7), art. no. 56, DOI: 10.1007/s00445-017-1137-5

Blake DM, Deligne NI, Wilson TM, Lindsay JM, Woods R  (2017) Investigating the consequences of urban volcanism using a scenario approach II: Insights into transportation network damage and functionality. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. Available online.

Blake, D.M.; Deligne, N.I.; Wilson, T.M.; Wilson, G. 2017 Improving volcanic ash fragility functions through laboratory studies : example of surface transportation networks. Journal of applied volcanology, 6: article 16; doi: 10.1186/s13617-017-0066-5

Blake, D.M.; Wilson, T.M.; Cole, J.W.; Deligne, N.I.; Lindsay, J.M. 2017 Impact of volcanic ash on road and airfield surface skid resistance. Sustainability, 9(8): 1389; doi: 10.3390/su9081389

Breard, E.C.P., Lube, G. (2017) Inside pyroclastic density currents – uncovering the enigmatic flow structure and transport behaviour in large-scale experiments. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 458, pp. 22-36. DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2016.10.016

Christenson, B.W., White, S., Britten, K., and Scott, B.J. (2017) Hydrological evolution and chemical structure of a hyper-acidic spring-lake system on Whakaari/White Island, NZ. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 346:180-211.

Deligne NI, Fitzgerald RH, Blake DM, Davies AJ, Hayes JL,Stewart C, Wilson G, Wilson TM, Castelino R, Kennedy BM, Muspratt S, Woods R (2017) Investigating the consequences of urban volcanism using a scenario approach I: Development and application of a hypothetical eruption in the Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, Available online. 

Deligne, N.I.; Sparks, R.S.J.; Brown, S.K. 2017 Report on potential sampling biases in the LaMEVE database of global volcanism. Journal of applied volcanology, 6: article 7; doi: 10.1186/s13617-017-0058-5

Gómez-Vasconcelos, M.G., Villamor, P., Cronin, S., Procter, J., Palmer, A., Townsend, D., Leonard, G. (2017) Crustal extension in the Tongariro graben, New Zealand: Insights into volcano-tectonic interactions and active deformation in a young continental rift. Bulletin of the Geological Society of America, 129 (9-10), pp. 1085-1099. DOI: 10.1130/B31657.1

Gravis, I.,  Németh, K. ,  Procter, J.N.  (2017) The Role of Cultural and Indigenous Values in Geosite Evaluations on a Quaternary Monogenetic Volcanic Landscape at Ihumātao, Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand. Geoheritage 9(3): 373-393. Available online.

Hamling, I. J. (2017). Crater lake controls on volcano stability: Insights from White Island, New Zealand. Geophysical Research Letters, 44: 11,311–11,319.

Hayes, J.L.; Wilson, T.M.; Deligne, N.I.; Cole, J.; Hughes, M. 2017 A model to assess tephra clean-up requirements in urban environments. Journal of applied volcanology, 6(1): 23 p.; doi: 10.1186/s13617-016-0052-3

Jolly, A.D., Lokmer, I., Thun, J., Salichon, J., Fry, B., Chardot, L. (2017) Insights into fluid transport mechanisms at White Island from analysis of coupled very long-period (VLP), long-period (LP) and high-frequency (HF) earthquakes. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 343, pp. 75-94. DOI: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2017.06.006

Jolly, A.D., Matoza, R.S., Fee, D., Kennedy, B.M., Iezzi, A.M., Fitzgerald, R.H., Austin, A.C., Johnson, R. (2017) Capturing the Acoustic Radiation Pattern of Strombolian Eruptions using Infrasound Sensors Aboard a Tethered Aerostat, Yasur Volcano, Vanuatu. Geophysical Research Letters, 44 (19), pp. 9672-9680. DOI: 10.1002/2017GL074971

Leonard, G.S., Calvert, A.T., Hopkins, J.L., Wilson, C.J.N., Smid, E.R., Lindsay, J.M., Champion, D.E. (2017) High-precision 40Ar/39Ar dating of Quaternary basalts from Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand, with implications for eruption rates and paleomagnetic correlations. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 343, pp. 60-74.  DOI: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2017.05.033

McDonald GW, Cronin SJ,  Kim J.-H, Smith NJ, Murray CA, Procter JN (2017) Computable general equilibrium modelling of economic impacts from volcanic event scenarios at regional and national scale, Mt. Taranaki, New Zealand. Bulletin of Volcanology, 79:87. Available online.

Stirling M, Bebbington M, Brenna M, Cronin S, Christophersen A, Deligne N, Hurst T, Jolly A, Jolly G, Kennedy B, Kereszturi G, Lindsay J, Neall V, Procter J, Rhoades D, Scott B, Shane P, Smith I, Smith R, Wang T, White JDL, Wilson CJN and Wilson T (2017) Conceptual Development of a National Volcanic Hazard Model for New Zealand. Frontiers in Earth Science 5:51. doi: 10.3389/feart.2017.00051 Available online.

Torres-Orozco, R., Cronin, S.J., Damaschke, M., Pardo, N. (2017) Diverse dynamics of Holocene mafic-intermediate Plinian eruptions at Mt. Taranaki (Egmont), New Zealand. Bulletin of Volcanology 79(11): 76. DOI: 10.1007/s00445-017-1162-4. Available online.

Walsh, B., Jolly, A.D., Procter, J. (2017) Calibrating the amplitude source location (ASL) method by using active seismic sources: An example from Te Maari volcano, Tongariro National Park, New Zealand. Geophysical Research Letters, 44 (8), pp. 3591-3599. DOI: 10.1002/2017GL073000

Wilson, G., Wilson, T.M., Deligne, N.I., Blake, D.M., Cole, C.W (2017) Framework for developing volcanic fragility and vulnerability functions for critical infrastructure. Journal of Applied Volcanology 6: 14. DOI: 10.1186/s13617-017-0065-6. Available online.

2016

Peer-reviewed

Bebbington, M., Zitikis, R. (2016) Dynamic Uncertainty in Cost-Benefit Analysis of Evacuation Prior to a Volcanic Eruption. Mathematical Geosciences, 48 (2), pp. 123-148, available online.

Breard ECP, Lube G, Jones JR, Dufek J, Cronin SJ, Valentine GA, Moebis A (2016) Coupling of turbulent and non-turbulent flow regimes within pyroclastic density currents. Nature Geoscience volume 9, pages 767–771. available online

Green, R.M., Bebbington, M.S., Jones, G., Cronin, S.J., Turner, M.B. (2016) Estimation of tephra volumes from sparse and incompletely observed deposit thicknesses Bulletin of Volcanology, 78 (4), pp. 1-18.  DOI: 10.1007/s00445-016-1016-5

Hamling et al 2016 Off-axis magmatism along a subaerial back-arc rift: Observations from the Taupo Volcanic Zone, New Zealand, Science Advances  03 Jun 2016: Vol. 2, no. 6, e1600288 available online

Hurst, T., Heise, W., Hreinsdottir, S., Hamling, I. (2016) Geophysics of the Taupo Volcanic Zone: A review of recent developments. Geothermics, 59, pp. 188-204.  available online

Jolly, A., Kennedy, B., Edwards, M., Jousset, P., Scheu, B. (2016) Infrasound tremor from bubble burst eruptions in the viscous shallow crater lake of White Island, New Zealand, and its implications for interpreting volcanic source processes. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 327, pp. 585-603. DOI: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2016.08.010

Kereszturi, G. ,  Procter, J.  (2016) Error in topographic attributes for volcanic hazard assessment of the Auckland Volcanic Field (New Zealand). New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics, Volume 59, Issue 2, 2 April 2016, Pages 286-301. Available online.

Montanaro, C., Scheu, B., Cronin, S.J., Breard, E.C.P., Lube, G., Dingwell, D.B.(2016) Experimental estimates of the energy budget of hydrothermal eruptions; application to 2012 Upper Te Maari eruption, New Zealand. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 452, pp. 281-294. DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2016.07.052

Scott, B.J.; Mroczek, E.K.; Burnell, J.G.; Zarrouk, S.J.; Seward, A.M.; Robson, B.; Graham, D.J. (2016) Rotorua Geothermal Field : an experiment in environmental management. Geothermics, 59B: 294-310. available online.

Walsh, B.; Jolly, A.D.; Procter, J.N. (2016) Seismic analysis of the 13 October 2012 Te Maari, New Zealand, lake breakout lahar: Insights into flow dynamics and the implications on mass flow monitoring. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 324: 144-155. available online.

2015

Books/Book Chapters

Chapters by Gill Jolly (GNS), Graham Leonard (GNS), Sally Potter (GNS), Tom Wilson (Univ Canterbury) and more in: Loughlin, S, Sparks S, Brown S, Jenkins S, Vye-Brown C (Eds)  Global Volcanic Hazards and Risk, Cambridge University Press, 2015 (available online)

Connor, C., Bebbington, M., Marzocchi, W., 2015: Probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment. Pp 897-911. In: Houghton, B., Rymer, H., Stix, J., McNutt, S., (Eds.) Encyclopedia of Volcanoes 2nd Edition. Academic Press, San Diego. 1456p. ISBN: 9780123859389.

Peer-reviewed

Agustín-Flores, J., Németh, K., Cronin, S.J., Lindsay, J.M., Kereszturi, G., 2015: Construction of the North Head (Maungauika) tuff cone: a product of Surtseyan volcanism, rare in the Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand. Bulletin of Volcanology 77: 11. DOI: 10.1007/s00445-014-0892-9

Bebbington, M., 2015: Spatio-volumetric hazard estimation in the Auckland Volcanic Field. Bulletin of Volcanology 77: 39. DOI: 10.1007/s00445-015-0921-3

Brenna, M., Nemeth, K., Cronin, S.J., Kereszturi, G., Sohn, Y-K., Smith, I.E.M., Wijbrans, J., 2015: Co-located monogenetic eruptions ~150 ka apart driven by tapping vertically separated mantle source regions, Chagwido, Jeju Island, Republic of Korea. Bulletin of Volcanology 77: 43. DOI: 10.1007/s00445-015-0928-9

Chardot, L.; Jolly, A.D.; Kennedy, B.; Fournier, N.; Sherburn, S. 2015 Using volcanic tremor for eruption forecasting at White Island volcano (Whakaari), New Zealand. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 302: 11-23.

Hamling, I.J.; Hreinsdottir, S.; Fournier, N. (2015) The ups and downs of the TVZ : geodetic observations of deformation around the Taupo Volcanic Zone, New Zealand. Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth, 120(6): 4667-4679. available online.

Harvey, M.C.; Rowland, J.V.; Chiodini, G.; Rissmann, C.F.; Bloomberg, S.; Hernandez, P.A.; Mazot, A.; Viveiros, F.; Werner, C. 2015 Heat flux from magmatic hydrothermal systems related to availability of fluid recharge. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 302: 225-236.

Holden, L.; Wallace, L.M.; Beavan, R.J.; Fournier, N.; Cas, R.; Ailleres, L.; Silcock, D. 2015 Contemporary ground deformation in the Taupo Rift and Okataina Volcanic Centre from 1998 to 2011, measured using GPS. Geophysical Journal International, 202(3): 2082-2105.

Lube, G., Breard, E.C.P., Cronin, S.J., Jones, J., 2015: Synthesizing large-scale pyroclastic flows: Experimental design, scaling, and first results from PELE. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth 120(3): 1487-1502.

Murray, C., McDonald, G., Cronin, S.J. (2015) Interpreting Auckland’s volcanic hazards governance through an institutional lens. Natural Hazards, 75(1): 441-464

Pardo N, Wilson H, Procter JN, Lattughi E and Black T (2015) Bridging Māori indigenous knowledge and western geosciences to reduce social vulnerability in active volcanic regions . J Applied Volcanology, 4: available online.

Roverarto, M., Cronin, S.J., Procter, J.N., Capra, L. (2015) Textural features as indicators of debris avalanche transport and emplacement, Taranaki volcano. Geological Society of America Bulletin. DOI: 10.1130/B30946.1

Tost, M. Cronin, S.J., Procter, J.N., Smith, I.E.M., Neall, V.E., Price, R.C., 2015: Impacts of catastrophic volcanic collapse on the erosion and morphology of a distal fluvial landscape: Hautapu River, Mt Ruapehu, New Zealand. Geological Society of America Bulletin 127: 266-280.

2014

Books/Book Chapters

Genareau, K., Cronin, S.J., Lube, G (2014) Effects of volatile behaviour on dome collapse and resultant pyroclastic surge dynamics: Gunung Merapi 2010 eruption. (♦ Link). Chapter in: Zellmer, G.F., Edmonds, M., Straub, S.M. (Eds.) The Role of Volatiles in the Genesis, Evolution and Eruption of Arc Magmas. Geological Society, London, Special Publications 410. DOI: 10.1144/SP410.6

Peer-reviewed

Agustin-Flores, J., Nemeth, K., Cronin, S.J., Lindsay, J.M., Kerestzuri, G., Brand, B.D., Smith, I.E., 2014: Phreatomagmatic eruptions through unconsolidated coastal plain sequences, Maungataketake, Auckland Volcanic Field (New Zealand). Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 276: 46-63.

Auer, A.; White, J.D.L.; Nakagawa, M.; Rosenberg, M.D. 2013 Petrological record from young Ruapehu eruptions in the 4.5 ka Kiwikiwi Formation, Whangaehu Gorge, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics, 56(3): 121-133.

Bebbington, M.S., 2014: Long-term forecasting of volcanic explosivity. Geophysical Journal International 197: 1500-1515.

Brand, B.D., Gravley, D.M., Clarke, A.B., Lindsay, J.M., Bloomberg, S.H., Agustin-Flores, J., Németh, K., (2014) A combined field and numerical approach to understanding dilute pyroclastic density current dynamics and hazard potential: Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. 276: 215–232.

Breard ECP, Lube G, Cronin SJ, Fitzgerald R, Kennedy B, Scheu B, Montanaro C, White JDL, Tost M, Procter JN, Moebis A (2014) Using the spatial distribution and lithology of ballistic blocks to interpret eruption sequence and dynamics: August 6 2012 Upper Te Maari eruption, New Zealand J Volcanol Geotherm Res.Vol. 286: 373-386 Available online 1 April 2014

Cronin SJ,, C. Stewart, A.V. Zernack, M. Brenna, J.N. Procter, N. Pardo, B. Christenson, T. Wilson, R.B. Stewart, M. Irwin (2014). Volcanic ash leachate compositions and assessment of health and agricultural hazards from 2012 hydrothermal eruptions, Tongariro, New Zealand. J Volcanol Geotherm Res.Vol 286: 233-247. Available online 11 July 2014

Crouch JF, Pardo N, Miller CA (2014).. Dual polarisation C-band weather radar imagery of the 6 August 2012 Te Maari Eruption, Mount Tongariro, New Zealand. J Volcanol Geotherm Res. Vol. 286: 415-436., Available online 12 May 2014

Fitzgerald RH, Tsunematsu K, Kennedy BM, Breard ECP, Lube G, Wilson TM, Jolly AD, Pawson J, Rosenberg MD, Cronin SJ (2014) The application of a calibrated 3D ballistic trajectory model to ballistic hazard assessments at Upper Te Maari, Tongariro. J Volcanol Geotherm Res. Vol 286: 248-262. Available online 4 May 2014

Fournier N., Jolly A.D. (2014). Detecting complex eruption sequence and directionality from high–rate geodetic observations: The August 6, 2012 Te Maari eruption, Tongariro, New Zealand J Volcanol Geotherm Res.Vol. 286: 387-396. Available online 2 June 2014

Green, R.M., Bebbington, M.S., Cronin, S.J., Jones, G., 2014: Automated statistical matching of multiple tephra records exemplified using five long maar sequences younger than 75 ka, Auckland, New Zealand. Quaternary Research 82(8): 405-419.

Houghton, B.F.; Carey, R.J.; Rosenberg, M.D. 2014 The 1800a Taupo eruption : "Ill wind" blows the ultraplinian type event down to Plinian. Geology, 42(5): 459-461

Hurst T, Jolly AD, Sherburn S (2014) Precursory characteristics of the seismicity before the 6 August 2012 eruption of Tongariro volcano, North Island, New Zealand J Volcanol Geotherm Res.Vol 286: 294-302. Available online 26 March 2014

Jolly AD, Cronin SJ (2014) From Eruption to End-user; Bridging the science - management interface during the 2012 Te Maari eruption, Tongariro Volcano, New Zealand. J Volcanol Geotherm Res. Vol. 286: 183. Available online 28 August 2014

Jolly AD, Jousset P, Lyons JJ, Carniel R, Fournier N, Fry B, Miller C (2014). Seismo-acoustic evidence for an avalanche driven phreatic eruption through a beheaded hydrothermal system: An example from the 2012 Tongariro eruption J Volcanol Geotherm Res. Vol. 286:331-347. Available online 18 April 2014,

Jolly AD, Lokmer I, Kennedy B, Keys HJR, Proctor J, Lyons JJ, Jolly GE (2014). Active seismic sources as a proxy for seismic surface processes: An example from the 2012 Tongariro volcanic eruptions, New Zealand J Volcanol Geotherm Res. Vol. 286: 317-330. Available online 18 April 2014

Jolly G.E., Keys H.J.R., Procter J.N, Deligne N.I. (2014) Overview of the co-ordinated risk-based approach to science and management response and recovery for the 2012 eruptions of Tongariro volcano, New Zealand. J Volcanol Geotherm Res. Vol 286: 184-207. Available online 3 September 2014

Kereszturi, G., Cappello, A., Ganci, G., Procter, J., Németh, K., Del Negro, C., Cronin, S.J., 2014: Numerical simulation of basaltic lava flows in the Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand ¬ Implication for reconstructing lava flow emplacement conditions. Bulletin of Volcanology 76: 1-17.

Kilgour, G.N.; Saunders, K.E.; Blundy, J.D.; Cashman, K.V.; Scott, B.J.; Miller, C.A. 2014 Timescales of magmatic processes at Ruapehu volcano from diffusion chronometry and their comparison to monitoring data. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 288: 62-75.

Klawonn, M.; Frazer, L.N.; Wolfe, C.J.; Houghton, B.F.; Rosenberg, M.D. 2014 Constraining particle size-dependent plume sedimentation from the 17 June 1996 eruption of Ruapehu Volcano, New Zealand, using geophysical inversions. Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth, 119(3): 1749-1763.

Leonard GS, Stewart C, Wilson TM, Procter JN, Scott BJ, Keys HJ, Jolly GE, Wardman JB, Cronin SJ, McBride SK (2014) Integrating multidisciplinary science, modelling and impact data into evolving, syn-event volcanic hazard mapping and communication: A case study from the 2012 Tongariro eruption crisis, New Zealand. J Volcanol Geotherm Res. Vol 286: 208-232. Available online 28 August 2014

Lube G, Breard ECP, Cronin SJ, Procter JN, Brenna M, Moebis A, Pardo N, Stewart RB, Jolly A, Fournier N (2014). Dynamics of surges generated by hydrothermal blasts during the 6 August 2012 Te Maari eruption, Mt. Tongariro, New Zealand J Volcanol Geotherm Res. Vol. 286: 348-366. Available online 14 May 2014

Mazot, A.; Schwandner, F.M.; Christenson, B.W.; de Ronde, C.E.J.; Inguaggiato, S.; Scott, B.J.; Graham, D.J.; Britten, K.M.; Keeman, J.; Tan, K. 2014 CO2 discharge from the bottom of volcanic Lake Rotomahana, New Zealand. Geochemistry Geophysics Geosystems, 15(3): 577-588.

Miller, C.A.; Jolly, A.D. 2014 A model for developing best practice volcano monitoring : a combined threat assessment, consultation and network effectiveness approach. Natural hazards, 71(1): 493-522.

Murray, C., McDonald, G., Cronin, S.J., in press: Interpreting Auckland’s volcanic hazards governance through an institutional lens. Natural Hazards. http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs11069-014-1340-z

Pardo N, Cronin SJ, Németh K, Brenna M, Schipper CI, Breard E, White JDL, Procter J, Stewart B, Agustín-Flores J, Moebis A, Zernack A, Kereszturi G, Lube G, Auer A, Neall V, Wallace C (2014). Perils in distinguishing phreatic from phreatomagmatic ash; insights into the eruption mechanisms of the 6 August 2012 Mt. Tongariro eruption, New Zealand J Volcanol Geotherm Res. Vol. 286: 397-414. Available online 14 May 2014

Pardo, N., Cronin, S.J., Wright, H., Schipper, C.I., Smith, I.E.M., Stewart, R.B., 2014: Textural variation in pyroclasts from andesitic Plinian eruptions of Mt. Ruapehu in the context of lithofacies associations. Bulletin of Volcanology 76(5): 822. DOI: 10.1007/s00445-014-0822-x.

Potter, S. H., Jolly, G. E., Neall, V. E., Johnston, D. M., Scott, B. J. (2014). Communicating the status of volcanic activity: Revising New Zealand's volcanic alert level system. Journal of Applied Volcanology 2014, 3:13  doi:10.1186/s13617-014-0013-7

Procter JN, Cronin SJ, Zernack AV, Lube G, Stewart RB, Nemeth K, Keys H. (2014). Debris flow evolution and the activation of an explosive hydrothermal system; Te Maari, Tongariro, New Zealand. J Volcanol Geotherm Res.Vol. 286:303-316. Available online 23 July 2014

Scott BJ, Potter SH (2014). Aspects of historical eruptive activity and volcanic unrest at Mt. Tongariro, New Zealand: 1846–2013 J Volcanol Geotherm Res.Vol 286: 263-276. Available online 16 April 2014,

Tost, M., Cronin, S.J., Procter, J., 2014: Transport and emplacement mechanisms of channelized long-runout debris avalanches, Ruapehu volcano, New Zealand. Bulletin of Volcanology 76: 881.

Turner R., Moore S., Pardo N., Kereszturi G., Uddstrom M., Hurst T., Cronin S. (2014) The use of Numerical Weather Prediction and a Lagrangian transport (NAME-III) and dispersion (ASHFALL) models to explain patterns of observed ash deposition and dispersion following the August 2012 Te Maari, New Zealand eruption J Volcanol Geotherm Res. 286: 437-451 Available online.

Wilson, G., Wilson, T.M., Deligne, N.I., Cole, J.W. (2014) Volcanic hazard impacts to critical infrastructure: A review. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 286, pp. 148-182. Available online

Wilson, T.M.; Stewart, C.; Wardman, J.B.; Wilson, G.; Johnston, D.M.; Hill, D.; Hampton, S.J.; Villemure, M.; McBride, S.K.; Leonard, G.S.; Daly, M.C.; Deligne, N.I.; Roberts, L. 2014 Volcanic ashfall preparedness poster series : a collaborative process for reducing the vulnerability of critical infrastructure. Journal of applied volcanology, 3(10): doi: 10.1186/s13617-014-0010-x

2013

Bebbington, M.S  (2013) Assessing probabilistic forecasts of volcanic eruption onsets. Bulletin of Volcanology, 75 (12), pp. 1-13.  DOI: 10.1007/s00445-013-0783-5

Bebbington, M., 2013: Assessing spatio-temporal eruption forecasts in a monogenetic volcanic field. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 252: 14-28.

Carniel, R.; Barbui, L.; Jolly, A.D. 2013 Detecting dynamical regimes by Self-Organising Map (SOM) analysis : an example from the March 2006 phreatic eruption at Raoul Island, New Zealand Kermadec Arc. Bollettino di geofisica teorica e applicata 54(1) 39-52.

Carniel, R.; Jolly, A.D.; Barbui, L. 2013 Analysis of phreatic events at Ruapehu volcano, New Zealand using a new SOM approach. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 254: 69-79.

Cronin, S.J., Lube, G., Dayudi, D.S., Sumarti, S., Subrandiyo, S., Surono, 2013: Insights into the October–November 2010 Gunung Merapi eruption (Central Java, Indonesia) from the stratigraphy, volume and characteristics of its pyroclastic deposits. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 261: 244-259.

Green, R.M., Bebbington, M.S., Cronin, S.J., Jones G., 2013: Geochemical precursors for eruption repose length. Geophysical Journal International 193: 855-873.

Jolly, A.D.; Power, W.L.; Fournier, N.; Wang, X. 2013 Capturing transient mass changes for the 2011 Tohoku tsunami on a spring gravity meter. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 103(2B): 1622-1627.

Kawabata, E., Bebbington, M.S., Cronin, S.J., Wang, T. 2013. Modelling thickness variability in tephra deposition. Bulletin of Volcanology. 75(8) 1-14.

Kereszturi, G., Németh, K., Cronin, S.J., Agustín-Flores, J., Smith, I.E.M., Lindsay, J., 2013: A model for calculating eruptive volumes for monogenetic volcanoes — Implication for the Quaternary Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 266: 16-33.

Kilgour, G.N.; Blundy, J.; Cashman, K.; Mader, H.M. 2013 Small volume andesite magmas and melt-mush interactions at Ruapehu, New Zealand : evidence from melt inclusions. Contributions to mineralogy and petrology, 166(2): 371-392.

Martin, A.P., Cooper, A.F., Price, R.C., 2013: Petrogenesis of Cenozoic, alkalic volcanic lineages at Mount Morning, West Antarctica and their entrained lithospheric mantle xenoliths: lithospheric versus asthenospheric mantle sources. Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta 122: 127-152.

Mazot, A.; Smid, E.R.; Schwendenmann, L.; Delgado-Granados, H.; Lindsay, J. 2013 Soil CO2 flux baseline in an urban monogenetic volcanic field : the Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand. Bulletin of Volcanology, 75(11): doi: 10.1007/s00445-013-0757-7 (7 p.)

Wang, T., Bebbington, M., 2013: Robust estimation for the Weibull process applied to eruption records. Mathematical Geosciences 45: 851-872.

Wang, T., Bebbington, M., 2013: Identifying anomalous signals in GPS data using HMMs: An increased likelihood of earthquakes? Computational Statistics and Data Analysis 58: 27-44.

2012

Bebbington, M.S., 2012: Models for temporal volcanic hazard. Statistics in Volcanology 1: 1-24.

Bertrand, E.A.; Caldwell, T.G.; Hill, G.J.; Wallin, E.L.; Bennie, S.L.; Cozens, N.; Onacha, S.A.; Ryan, G.A.; Walter, C.; Zaino, A.; Wameyo, P. 2012 Magnetotelluric imaging of upper-crustal convection plumes beneath the Taupo Volcanic Zone, New Zealand. Geophysical research letters, 39(2): L02304, doi:10.1029/2011GL050177 (6 p.)

Bertrand, E.A.; Unsworth, M.J.; Chiang, C-W.; Chen, C-S.; Chen, C-C.; Wu, F.T.; Turkoglu, E.; Hsu, H-L.; Hill, G.J. 2012 Magnetotelluric imaging beneath the Taiwan orogen : an arc-continent collision. Journal of geophysical research. Solid earth, 117: B01402, doi:10.1029/2011JB008688 (15 p.)

Caudron, C.; Mazot, A.; Bernard, A. 2012 Carbon dioxide dynamics in Kelud volcanic lake. Journal of geophysical research. Solid earth, 117: B05102; doi: 10.1029/2011JB008806

Dondin, F.; Lebrun, J-F.; Kelfoun, K.; Fournier, N.; Randrianasolo, A. 2012 Sector collapse at Kick 'em Jenny submarine volcano (Lesser Antilles) : numerical simulation and landslide behaviour. Bulletin of volcanology, 74(2): 595-607.

Fournier, N.; Chardot, L. 2012 Understanding volcano hydrothermal unrest from geodetic observations : insights from numerical modeling and application to White Island volcano, New Zealand. Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth, 117(11): B11208; doi: 10.1029/2012JB009469 (16 p.)

Heise, W.; Caldwell, T.G.; Hill, G.J.; Bennie, S.L.; Wallin, E.L.; Bertrand, E.A. 2012 Magnetotelluric imaging of fluid processes at the subduction interface of the Hikurangi margin, New Zealand. Geophysical research letters, 39: L04308, doi:10.1029/2011GL050150

Hurst, A.W.; Christenson, B.W.; Cole-Baker, J.R. 2012 Use of a weather buoy to derive improved heat and mass balance parameters for Ruapehu Crater Lake. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 235/236: 23-28; doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2012.05.004

Inguaggiato, S.; Mazot, A.; Diliberto, I.S.; Inguaggiato, C.; Madonia, P.; Rouwet, D.; Vita, F. 2012 Total CO2 output from Vulcano Island (Aeolian Islands, Italy). Geochemistry geophysics geosystems, 13(2): Q02012, doi:10.1029/2011GC003920 (19 p.)

Jolly, A.D.; Chardot, L.; Neuberg, J.; Fournier, N.; Scott, B.J.; Sherburn, S. 2012 High impact mass drops from helicopter : a new active seismic source method applied in an active volcanic setting. Geophysical Research Letters, 39: L12306; doi: 10.1029/2012GL051880

Jolly, A.D.; Neuberg, J.; Jousset, P.; Sherburn, S. 2012 A new source process for evolving repetitious earthquakes at Ngauruhoe volcano, New Zealand. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 215/216: 26-39; doi:10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2011.11.010

Jolly, A.D.; Chardot, L.; Neuberg, J.; Fournier, N.; Scott, B.J.; Sherburn, S. 2012 High impact mass drops from helicopter : a new active seismic source method applied in an active volcanic setting. Geophysical research letters, 39: L12306; doi: 10.1029/2012GL051880

Jolly, A.D.; Neuberg, J.; Jousset, P.; Sherburn, S. 2012 A new source process for evolving repetitious earthquakes at Ngauruhoe volcano, New Zealand. Journal of volcanology and geothermal research, 215/216: 26-39; doi:10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2011.11.010

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Marzocchi, W., Bebbington, M.S., 2012: Probabilistic eruption forecasting at short and long time scales. Bulletin of Volcanology 74: 1777-1805. DOI: 10.1007/s00445-012-0633-x.

Miller, C.A.; Jolly, A.D. 2012 Results of consultation with the New Zealand volcanology research community for future GeoNet funding directions. Lower Hutt: GNS Science. GNS Science report 2012/18. 58 p.

Price, R.C., Gamble, J.A., Smith, I.E.M., Maas, R., Waight, T., Stewart, R.B., Woodhead, J., 2012: The anatomy of an andesite volcano: A time-stratigraphic study of andesite petrogenesis and crustal evolution at Ruapehu Volcano, New Zealand. Journal of Petrology 53(10): 2139-2189. DOI: 10.1093/petrology/egs050.

Rissmann, C.; Christenson, B.W.; Werner, C.; Leybourne, M.I.; Cole, J.; Gravley, D. 2012 Surface heat flow and CO2 emissions within the Ohaaki hydrothermal field, Taupo Volcanic Zone, New Zealand. Applied geochemistry, 27(1): 223-239; doi:10.1016/j.apgeochem.2011.10.006

Sandri, L.; Jolly, G.E.; Lindsay, J.; Howe, T.; Marzocchi W. 2012 Combining long- and short-term probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment with cost-benefit analysis to support decision making in a volcanic crisis from the Auckland Volcanic Field, New Zealand. Bulletin of Volcanology, 74(3): 705-723; doi 10.1007/s00445-011-0556-y

Wang, T., Bebbington, M., 2012: Estimating the likelihood of an eruption from a volcano with missing onsets in its record. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research 243-244: 14-23. DOI: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2012.06.032.

Zernack, A.V., Cronin, S.J., Bebbington, M.S., Price, R.C., Smith, I.E.M., Stewart, R.B., Procter, J.N., 2012: Forecasting catastrophic stratovolcano collapse: a model based on Mount Taranaki, New Zealand. Geology 40: 983-986. DOI: 10.1130/G33277.1.

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